Pierre Poilievre and the Canadian Conservatives are very, very far away from being like the US Republicans

Stephen Marche (source: stephenmarche.com)

Following the publication of my recent review of his excellent, penetrating, but preoccupying book The Next Civil War: Dispatches from the American Future (Avid Reader Press / Simon & Schuster), Canadian essayist and novelist Stephen Marche kindly accepted to answer a few questions for this blog. It is therefore with tremendous pleasure that I share the content of our exchange.

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BookMarc: Mr. Marche, you present a gloomy portrait of the threats that America might well be confronted to in a near future. Between the 5 scenarios you envision, which one is the most likely in your opinion and why?

Stephen Marche: Well, I would say that a version of the first scenario—about a united right that rallies over a bridge—has sort of already happened. I don’t really think that one is more likely than another. I prided myself in the book about being very specific about the limits of the models I used to write the pieces. Some, like the environmental models, are incredibly strong. Others, like the economic models, aren’t worth the paper they’re written on. But I give the best available models in each case.

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The financier who exposed Vladimir Putin

Six years ago this week, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan survived a coup launched by a faction of the Armed Forces. The statesman mobilized his supporters, enjoining them to resist the coup, by using the FaceTime app on his iPhone. At the time, I was impressed by the powerful impact of such a small tool in creating such a momentous outcome.

I was reminded of that story while reading Bill Browder’s book Freezing Order: A True Story of Money Laundering, Murder and Surviving Vladimir Putin’s Wrath (Simon & Schuster), not only because of the cruciality of knowing how to use the modern tools of communications, but also because there is a huge price to pay when you confront an autocrat.

Bill Browder can attest to that.

The author of Freezing Order is an American-born financier (now living in the UK) and founder of Hermitage Capital Management who has been active in Russia between 1996 and 2008. In June 2008, one of his lawyers, “[…] Sergei Magnitsky, discovered that […] criminals had used our stolen companies and their fake claims to apply for a fraudulent $230 million tax refund.” That’s where the roller coaster ride that is this book begins.

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Le chaos, cet allié de Vladimir Poutine

Mais quelle mouche a bien pu piquer Vladimir Poutine? Telle est la question que je me posais au matin du 24 février 2022, agglutiné que j’étais aux informations et reportages continus diffusés sur CNN. Depuis des années, je m’intéresse au président russe et à la dynamique géopolitique qu’il a instauré dès son entrée en fonction. Le livre d’Isabelle Mandraud et Julien Théron, Poutine, la stratégie du désordre (Tallandier) m’apparaissait comme contribuant à répondre aux nombreuses questions qui se bousculaient dans mon esprit en cette froide matinée.

« La violence est constitutive de la présidence de Vladimir Poutine », exposent les auteurs. On pourrait même ajouter qu’elle est en filigrane de l’histoire de la Russie depuis des siècles. L’âme russe s’est forgée au son des épées, dans le bruit des canons et le sacrifice de la boue et du sang des champs de bataille. Lors de mes deux séjours à Moscou, j’avais été frappé par l’importance de l’héritage militaire de ce pays en sillonnant les expositions du musée de la guerre patriotique de 1812 à quelques pas du Kremlin et le musée de la Victoire consacré à la Deuxième Guerre mondiale.

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De Gaulle aurait condamné sans appel l’intervention russe en Ukraine

Le dirigeant soviétique Nikita Khrouchtchev en compagnie du Général de Gaulle (source Histoire & Civilisations)

J’ai récemment eu le privilège d’adresser quelques questions à l’historien et auteur de renommée internationale Éric Branca, dans le contexte de la guerre en Ukraine. Avec un retard pour lequel je suis désolé, il me fait grand plaisir de publier aujourd’hui cet entretien qui soulève des aspects éclairants.

Voici donc le contenu de notre échange.

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BookMarc : Monsieur Branca, sans vouloir tomber dans l’imprudence d’une conjecture, disposons-nous d’indices pour savoir comment de Gaulle aurait réagi à la suite de l’invasion de l’Ukraine le 24 février dernier?

Éric Branca : Il est toujours périlleux de faire parler les morts ou de dire ce qu’ils auraient fait, mais il est relativement simple de savoir ce qu’ils n’auraient pas fait, sachant ce qui a constitué la logique profonde de leur existence et de leur action, en l’occurrence l’indépendance de la France et sa mise au service de la paix en luttant contre les empires.

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How America Could Fall

There has always been a soft spot for the United States in my heart. When I was about 10 years old, I uninstalled my parents’ clothesline to attach a flag of the United States on July 4th. I sensed my father was upset, but he said nothing, probably because he was somehow impressed with my audacity. A few decades later, my feeling of admiration and appreciation remained intact, and it was important for me to visit the Gettysburg National Military Park – which commemorates the most iconic battle of the Civil War during which approximately 50 000 soldiers became casualties. During those captivating pilgrimages on the battlefield, I remember the comfort I felt in my heart that such an occurrence would not happen again. America, I like to think, will remain a beacon of the values to which I am attached for many decades to come. And I guess my heart would like to believe it will be centuries…

But the last few years have considerably shaken this conviction. You may think I’m talking about Donald Trump’s election on November 8, 2016, and you are partially right. The events that occurred on January 6, 2021, were a formidable earthquake. I would never have believed anyone predicting those terrifying images of hooligans storming the US Capitol – the very seat of American democracy. Never. But here we were.

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